Renewable Energy

To be conservative[12], the PDP 2012 adds the same amount renewable energy generation as in the PDP 2010, as shown below in Table 11. Other related assumptions, such as dependable capacity (see Table 12) and total energy production are also as specified in the PDP 2010.[13]

Table 11: Generation from renewable energy in MW in the PDP 2010 and the PDP 2012.

Table 12: Dependable capacity assumptions used in PDP 2010 and PDP 2012. These are used in calculating energy (GWh) output and costs of electricity from renewable energy.

[12]

The PDP 2010 renewable energy assumption of 5348 MW reflects only a 16% increase by the year 2030 over the 4622 MW of signed PPAs for renewable energy already in the pipeline (Table 7). Considering that most renewable energy projects have construction times under two years, and barring huge policy reversals in which renewable energy is strongly discouraged, Thailand is very likely to exceed the limited renewable energy amounts in the PDP 2010.

[13]	Minor differences between the PDP 2010 and PDP 2012 treatment of renewable energy reflect delays in renewable energy deployment that have cropped up since 2010 as a result of the Managing Committee.